Swing State Project moves race to "Leans Democratic"

via Swing State Project;

With Staten Island Republicans still searching for a candidate a week after the death of Frank Powers, the Swing State Project is changing its rating of this race from "Tossup" to "Leans Democratic".

After FEC filings at the end of the month we will have a good idea of what Steve and Mike's cash situation looks like. Then on July 10th ballot petitioning closes and we will know who, if anyone will make the Republican ballot. Expect the other analysts to start following suit and moving this race to Lean Democratic.