What is the value of the Conservative Party ballot line?

With the Conservative Party line opening up on the ballot this November I revisited some old posts on the value in terms of votes the party brings its nominee.  Back in 2004, the last presidential election year, the Conservative Party line gave Fossella 10,221 votes.  Fossella beat Harrison by about 13,000 votes.  The conservative line had 6% of the total votes cast in 2004 and 4.5% of the total votes cast in 2006.

The Conservative Party vote trends have been going down in recent elections while the Indy and Working Families lines have seen increases.  However in this district the Conservative Party is far and away the largest minor party in vote totals.

see also:
Fossella losing the Conservative ballot line?
WFP, Con, and Ind Party Strengths
WFP, Con, and Ind Party Strengths, Part II