538 on New York

FiveThirtyEight.com is a great website that tracks polling and has been doing a run down of each state and 'what to watch for' on election night. Here is New York;

What To Watch For

The federal-level action in New York this year is in the House, where at least two seats appear poised to flip R to D due to retirements, Jim Walsh's 25th Syracuse district and Vito Fossella's 13th Staten Island district. Just as both of those seats are rated "Lean D" by the Cook Political Report, Republican incumbent Randy Kuhl's 29th district seat is also extremely vulnerable due to a very strong challenege by Eric Massa. Outside of Buffalo and just north of the 29th is the toss-up 26th, an open seat being vacated by Tom Reynolds. If all four seats turn out to be Democratic pickups, only two Republicans will remain in New York's caucus. [emphasis my own]