CQPolitics calls NY-13 top five most likely pick-up nationally

CQ calls out NY-13 first on their top five list of seats that are most vulnerable, and in all five cases it would be Democratic pick-ups in another cycle where voters are preferring the Democratic Party to their counterpart;

So this version of Jigsaw Politics provides a more microscopic look at this year’s competitive race landscape with a list of the five House seats that currently, based on CQ Politics’ ratings and reporting, appear the most vulnerable to take over by the challenging party.

The districts (with links to more details on the races) are:

• New York’s 13th District, in which Republican Rep. Vito J. Fossella was forced to quit his re-election bid after admitting he had a daughter from an ongoing extramarital affair.

The others are IL-11, AZ-01, VA-11, and NY-25. We are looking at a potential four seat pick up in New York state as the voters relegate the Republican Party almost to the status of a minor party.

...the first four races on the Top 5 list were easy picks, as they are the only races so far this year in which either party is rated as having a clear edge to take over a seat.