NY13 Blog; Retaking NY-13 from Rep. Vito Fossella

Following the corruption, ineffectiveness and hypocrisy of Rep. Vito Fossella.

Sunday, August 10, 2008

Cook Political Report upgrades race

Cook Political Report has upgraded this race from Leans Dem to Likely Dem.

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Thursday, July 03, 2008

Cook upgrades race to 'Lean Democrat'

Another day and another analyst upgrades this race in the Democrats favor. Cook Political Report has moved this race one spot from "toss up" to "lean Democrat." They now join Swing State Project who already this at Leans Dem and CQPolitics who yesterday moved it a spot further to Dem Favored.

Come on Rothenberg you know you want to join the fun.

h/t to The Albany Project for catching this this morning

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Friday, June 13, 2008

Race shifts back in Democrats favor, now "no clear favorite"

CQpolitics for some reasons had shifted their ranking of this race from no clear favorite to leans Republican and is now shifting it back to no clear favorite;


The personal scandal that caused the stunning political downfall of Republican Rep. Vito Fossella, and his party’s stumbling efforts to recruit a candidate to succeed him in New York’s 13th Congressional District, have prompted CQ Politics to change its rating on the race to No Clear Favorite from Leans Republican.


Swing State Project already had this at "toss-up" the equivilent of no clear favorite. As did Cook Political Report. This seat will soon become "Leans Democratic," likely after a strong FEC filing by McMahon and Harrison.

update fixed the Swing State Project link

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Monday, May 12, 2008

Several analysts upgrade race to "toss up"

Swing State Project;

In the wake of what appears to be a career-ending scandal for Staten Island GOP Rep. Vito Fossella, the Swing State Project is updating its NY-13 race rating from "Likely Republican" to "Tossup".


Cook Political Report moves race from Likely Republican to Toss Up

CQ Politics;

Fossella’s admission Thursday that he fathered a child outside of his marriage, which came on the heels of a May 1 drunken driving arrest, has led to rumors he may resign. Because so many pieces of the race remain unsettled, CQ Politics is changing its rating on the race from Safe Republican to No Clear Favorite.

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Thursday, May 08, 2008

Cook Political Report moves this race to 'toss up'

Cook Political Report is now listing this race as toss-up meaning the likelihood of a Democrat or Republican now winning this seat is equal. They moved this race two spots from Likely Republican. At the end of October 2007 Cook moved this from Solid Republican to Likely Republican, an indication of the strength of Harrison and Recchia. Of the 16 changes Cook made only three had as big of a swing, all favoring Democrats.

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Friday, October 26, 2007

Cook Political Report changes NY-13 ratings

The Cook Political Report has changed their rating for NY-13 from 'solid safe republican' to 'likely republican'. An early indication that this seat may be more competative than it was in the past. Possibly a result of horrible fund raising by Fossella or that he may have to fend off two Democratic opponents.

Cook Report has already listed Fossella as the 12th most competitive seat based on PVI.

h/t DavidNYC

update: phillip gave us some front page love over at the Albany Project

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